Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.459071 0.503807 0.551751 0.607081 0.669329 0.737371 0.817613
2025-11-23 0.382850 0.444345 0.514931 0.602473 0.708860 0.834886 0.996857
2025-11-30 0.341944 0.411932 0.496060 0.605696 0.746366 0.922941 1.164800
2025-12-07 0.307505 0.381210 0.473031 0.597453 0.764186 0.983600 1.300497
2025-12-14 0.280674 0.356360 0.453524 0.589626 0.778975 1.038668 1.431880
2025-12-21 0.254158 0.329082 0.427678 0.569661 0.773536 1.063210 1.520179
2025-12-28 0.242117 0.319755 0.424522 0.579730 0.810011 1.149554 1.709090
2026-01-04 0.230837 0.310341 0.420092 0.586949 0.842117 1.231615 1.900618
2026-01-11 0.219862 0.300379 0.413846 0.590490 0.868278 1.306251 2.088625
2026-01-18 0.209689 0.290746 0.407166 0.592443 0.891546 1.377818 2.279856
2026-01-25 0.201481 0.283345 0.403091 0.597771 0.920201 1.460507 2.501290
2026-02-01 0.189776 0.269976 0.389053 0.586074 0.919384 1.492257 2.631594
2026-02-08 0.182931 0.263677 0.385629 0.591523 0.948526 1.580594 2.886141
2026-02-15 0.174349 0.254216 0.376665 0.587132 0.960172 1.638522 3.088891
2026-02-22 0.168149 0.248059 0.372464 0.590254 0.985139 1.723501 3.360778
2026-03-01 0.160145 0.238587 0.362295 0.582266 0.988927 1.767807 3.550748
2026-03-08 0.152845 0.229848 0.352789 0.574681 0.992636 1.812039 3.747201
2026-03-15 0.143829 0.217886 0.337279 0.555329 0.972219 1.804989 3.822129
2026-03-22 0.140835 0.215626 0.337902 0.565089 1.009015 1.920593 4.213376
2026-03-29 0.137523 0.212648 0.337096 0.572086 1.040846 2.029157 4.607337
2026-04-05 0.133801 0.208786 0.334516 0.575518 1.065641 2.125010 4.986450
2026-04-12 0.130049 0.204684 0.331272 0.577411 1.087320 2.216232 5.370988
2026-04-19 0.127025 0.201681 0.329795 0.582573 1.116314 2.327841 5.836738